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“共富光伏农业提升工程”:发展现状与优化路径研究——基于浙江省50个典型案例的问卷调查分析    

“Common Prosperity Photovoltaic Agriculture Promotion Project”: Research on the Development Status and Optimization Paths—Based on a Questionnaire Survey Analysis of 50 Typical Cases in Zhejiang Province

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:“共富光伏农业提升工程”:发展现状与优化路径研究——基于浙江省50个典型案例的问卷调查分析

英文题名:“Common Prosperity Photovoltaic Agriculture Promotion Project”: Research on the Development Status and Optimization Paths—Based on a Questionnaire Survey Analysis of 50 Typical Cases in Zhejiang Province

作者:赵珂[1];蒋红云[1];朱美健[1];宋纯蕾[1]

机构:[1]绍兴文理学院应用统计系,浙江 绍兴

年份:2025

卷号:14

期号:1

起止页码:155

中文期刊名:统计学与应用

外文期刊名:Statistical and Application

基金:浙江省教育厅项目(项目编号:Y202248421),浙江省哲社科项目(项目编号:25NDJC012YBM)。

语种:中文

中文关键词:共富光伏农业提升工程;随机森林模型;结构方程模型;优化路径

中文摘要:浙江省“共富光伏农业提升工程”旨在利用光伏技术提升农业生产效益,推动农业现代化,是实现村民共同富裕的重要举措。本文对浙江省11个地级市的50个典型光伏农业案例进行深入调查,采用网络数据挖掘、随机森林模型、结构方程模型等进行数据分析。分析结果表明:“共富光伏农业提升工程”有效提高土地利用效率,减少温室气体排放,但对地表植被造成一定影响。技术上面临成本高、适应性弱、稳定性不足和创新能力有限等问题,且村民增收效果不显著。“工程的结实程度和耐用性”是影响总体满意度的最重要因素。工程发展现状的满意度直接促进了工程未来发展,其效果评价通过影响满意度间接影响其未来发展。最后从政府、企业、村民三视角提出优化路径。The “Common Prosperity Photovoltaic Agriculture Promotion Project” in Zhejiang Province aims to enhance agricultural production efficiency and promote agricultural modernization through the use of photovoltaic technology, serving as an important measure for achieving common prosperity among villagers. This paper conducts an in-depth investigation of 50 typical photovoltaic agriculture cases across 11 prefecture-level cities in Zhejiang Province, employing data analysis methods such as network data mining, random forest models, and structural equation models. The analysis results indicate that the project effectively improves land use efficiency and reduces greenhouse gas emissions, but it also has a certain impact on surface vegetation. Technically, the project faces challenges such as high costs, weak adaptability, insufficient stability, and limited innovation capacity, and the effect of increasing villagers’ income is not significant. “The solidity and durability of the project” is the most important factor affecting overall satisfaction. The satisfaction with the current development status of the project directly promotes its future development, and the effect evaluation indirectly influences its future development through its impact on satisfaction. Finally, optimization paths are proposed from the perspectives of the government, enterprises, and villagers.

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